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Doing the Touchy Math on Who Should Get a COVID Vaccine First
And at the moment many are grappling with a particularly urgent—and thorny—area of research: modeling the optimal rollout of a vaccine. Modeling vaccine rollout requires a complex acrobatics, and while the models to flatten the curve that mesmerized the public last spring took weeks to craft, vaccine distribution models take many months. When social distancing became widespread this past spring, it dramatically altered the input into the typical transmission model, says Springborn. In the U.S., the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine has begun to model an equitable allocation of a vaccine. "We can’t let our foot off the gas the moment a vaccine is announced.”This article was originally published on Undark.
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